Capital flows

Tracking foreign capital

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Christiane Kneer and Alexander Raabe

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A prince not a pauper: the truth behind the UK’s current account deficit

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Stephen Burgess and Rachana Shanbhogue

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Do rich countries lend to poor countries?

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Almog Adir and Simon Whitaker

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Capital Inflows: The Good, the Bad and the Bubbly

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Glenn Hoggarth, Carsten Jung and Dennis Reinhardt.

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Will a Fed rate hike affect house prices in emerging markets?

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In some parts of the emerging world, housing markets have grown well ahead of income in recent years.  Will a US monetary policy normalisation bring about a correction in house prices as the search for yield unwinds and capital flows back to the US?  Looking at the past through the prism of a structural VAR, we think the answer is “yes it will”.  Shocks to global liquidity have much larger effects on house prices in emerging markets than in advanced world economies.

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