House prices

Houses are assets not goods: taking the theory to the UK data

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John Lewis and Fergus Cumming

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History dependence in the housing market

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Philippe Bracke and Silvana Tenreyro.

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Will there really be a pensions spending spree?

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Philip Bunn and Alice Pugh

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Will a Fed rate hike affect house prices in emerging markets?

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In some parts of the emerging world, housing markets have grown well ahead of income in recent years.  Will a US monetary policy normalisation bring about a correction in house prices as the search for yield unwinds and capital flows back to the US?  Looking at the past through the prism of a structural VAR, we think the answer is “yes it will”.  Shocks to global liquidity have much larger effects on house prices in emerging markets than in advanced world economies.

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